Nintendo Switch 2 Day One Shipment In Japan Estimated To Be Over 1.2 Million Units

Consolidated survey results from the first two My Nintendo Store Switch 2 pre-order lotteries, as well as other pre-order lotteries organized by other Japanese retailers, have given us a better understanding of the stock situation in Japan.

According to survey results for the second My Nintendo Store pre-order lottery, 6.6% of those who applied for the Japanese-Language Mario Kart World set were selected to purchase it, followed by 3.3% for the Japanese-Language standalone system and 62.3% for the Multi-Language System. Overall, the success rates are lower than what we’ve seen in the first lottery, with the exception of the Multi-Language System.

When comparing and extrapolating the results from the second My Nintendo Store pre-order lottery, it was revealed that 281,426 systems were allocated to it. That’s about 54% of the 517,987 systems allocated to the first pre-order lottery. This means that 799,413 units have been allocated to both My Nintendo Store lotteries so far.

As for other Japanese retailers such as Amazon Japan and Yodobashi Camera, it is estimated that 428,257 sets have been allocated to them. Combining the estimated My Nintendo Store and Japanese retail allocations, the day one shipment in Japan is expected to be 1,227,670 units, which would make it one of the biggest console launches in Japan’s history.

Keep in mind that pre-orders from the first two My Nintendo Store pre-order lotteries, as well as the current Japanese retail lotteries, are all expected to be delivered at launch on June 5, 2025. The survey results are not indicative of the actual number of units allocated to Japan, but the real shipment number should be somewhere close to it.

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